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Which State Is The Most Dangerous?

Which State Is The Safest?

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2004 Most Dangerous/Safest State Publication

Safest Order | Award Rankings 1994 to 2004

Methodology | Press Release | About Us | MQ Home

"1" is Most Dangerous, "50" is Safest

2004 MOST DANGEROUS STATE

ALPHA ORDER

 

RANK ORDER

2004 RANK

STATE

SUM

2003 RANK

CHANGE

 

2004 RANK

STATE

SUM

2003 RANK

CHANGE

18

Alabama

1.67

20

-2

 

1

Nevada

42.55

2

-1

12

Alaska

13.98

8

4

 

2

Louisiana

39.15

1

1

3

Arizona

37.60

3

0

 

3

Arizona

37.60

3

0

25

Arkansas

(14.98)

23

2

 

4

Maryland

35.34

5

-1

10

California

15.64

12

-2

 

5

South Carolina

35.17

11

-6

24

Colorado

(8.37)

25

-1

 

6

New Mexico

35.02

7

-1

39

Connecticut

(36.02)

36

3

 

7

Florida

31.61

4

3

20

Delaware

(0.39)

19

1

 

8

Tennessee

28.47

6

2

7

Florida

31.61

4

3

 

9

Texas

16.70

10

-1

17

Georgia

2.42

15

2

 

10

California

15.64

12

-2

23

Hawaii

(7.46)

26

-3

 

11

Michigan

14.69

9

2

40

Idaho

(40.62)

42

-2

 

12

Alaska

13.98

8

4

13

Illinois

10.91

13

0

 

13

Illinois

10.91

13

0

26

Indiana

(15.42)

24

2

 

14

Mississippi

5.90

14

0

42

Iowa

(43.80)

43

-1

 

15

North Carolina

3.60

16

-1

31

Kansas

(22.84)

28

3

 

16

Oklahoma

2.82

18

-2

36

Kentucky

(31.87)

35

1

 

17

Georgia

2.42

15

2

2

Louisiana

39.15

1

1

 

18

Alabama

1.67

20

-2

48

Maine

(60.31)

48

0

 

19

Missouri

0.81

17

2

4

Maryland

35.34

5

-1

 

20

Delaware

(0.39)

19

1

27

Massachusetts

(19.37)

31

-4

 

21

Washington

(0.63)

21

0

11

Michigan

14.69

9

2

 

22

Ohio

(5.37)

22

0

35

Minnesota

(30.90)

34

1

 

23

Hawaii

(7.46)

26

-3

14

Mississippi

5.90

14

0

 

24

Colorado

(8.37)

25

-1

19

Missouri

0.81

17

2

 

25

Arkansas

(14.98)

23

2

44

Montana

(46.53)

41

3

 

26

Indiana

(15.42)

24

2

34

Nebraska

(30.46)

39

-5

 

27

Massachusetts

(19.37)

31

-4

1

Nevada

42.55

2

-1

 

28

New York

(20.38)

29

-1

47

New Hampshire

(56.59)

46

1

 

29

Rhode Island

(20.77)

27

2

33

New Jersey

(24.13)

32

1

 

30

Pennsylvania

(21.13)

30

0

6

New Mexico

35.02

7

-1

 

31

Kansas

(22.84)

28

3

28

New York

(20.38)

29

-1

 

32

Oregon

(23.44)

33

-1

15

North Carolina

3.60

16

-1

 

33

New Jersey

(24.13)

32

1

50

North Dakota

(67.24)

49

1

 

34

Nebraska

(30.46)

39

-5

22

Ohio

(5.37)

22

0

 

35

Minnesota

(30.90)

34

1

16

Oklahoma

2.82

18

-2

 

36

Kentucky

(31.87)

35

1

32

Oregon

(23.44)

33

-1

 

37

Virginia

(32.21)

38

-1

30

Pennsylvania

(21.13)

30

0

 

38

Utah

(32.63)

37

1

29

Rhode Island

(20.77)

27

2

 

39

Connecticut

(36.02)

36

3

5

South Carolina

35.17

11

-6

 

40

Idaho

(40.62)

42

-2

46

South Dakota

(51.01)

47

-1

 

41

Wisconsin

(43.24)

40

1

8

Tennessee

28.47

6

2

 

42

Iowa

(43.80)

43

-1

9

Texas

16.70

10

-1

 

43

Wyoming

(45.29)

44

-1

38

Utah

(32.63)

37

1

 

44

Montana

(46.53)

41

3

49

Vermont

(60.72)

50

-1

 

45

West Virginia

(47.29)

45

0

37

Virginia

(32.21)

38

-1

 

46

South Dakota

(51.01)

47

-1

21

Washington

(0.63)

21

0

 

47

New Hampshire

(56.59)

46

1

45

West Virginia

(47.29)

45

0

 

48

Maine

(60.31)

48

0

41

Wisconsin

(43.24)

40

1

 

49

Vermont

(60.72)

50

-1

43

Wyoming

(45.29)

44

-1

 

50

North Dakota

(67.24)

49

1

METHODOLOGY: The Most Dangerous State 2004 rankings are determined by a four step process. First, rates for six crime categories — murder, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary and motor vehicle theft — are plugged into a formula that measures how a state compares to the national average for a given crime category.

Second, the outcome of this equation is then multiplied by a weight assigned to each crime category. For this year’s award, we again gave each crime category equal weight. Thus state comparisons are based purely on crime rates and how these rates stack up to the national average for a given crime category.

Third, the weighted numbers are added together to achieve state’s score ("SUM.") In the fourth and final step, these composite scores are ranked from highest to lowest to determine which states are the most dangerous and safest. Thus the farther below the national average a state’s crime rate is, the lower (and safer) it ranks. The farther above the national average, the higher (and more dangerous) a state ranks in the final list.

A Word About Crime Rankings

 Morgan Quitno’s annual rankings of crime in states, metro areas and cities are considered by some in the law enforcement community as controversial.  The FBI and many criminologists caution against rankings according to crime rates.  They correctly point out that crime levels are affected by many different factors, such as population density, composition of the population (particularly the concentration of youth), climate, economic conditions, strength of local law enforcement agencies, citizen’s attitudes toward crime, cultural factors, education levels, crime reporting practices of citizens and family cohesiveness.  Accordingly, crime rankings often are deemed “simplistic” or “incomplete.” 

 However, this criticism is largely based on the fact that there are reasons for the differences in crime rates, not that the rates are incompatible.  This would be somewhat akin to deciding not to compare athletes on their speed in the 100-yard dash because of physical or training differences.  Such differences help explain the different speeds but do not invalidate the comparisons.

 To be sure, crime-ranking information must be considered carefully.  However the rankings tell not only an interesting, but also very important story regarding the incidence of crime in the United States.  Furthermore, annual rankings not only allow for comparisons among different states and cities, but also enable leaders to track their communities’ crime trends from one year to the next.

 We certainly do not want to be irresponsible in our presentation of state and city crime data.  Our publications help concerned Americans learn how their communities fare in the fight against crime.  The first step in making our cities and states safer is to understand the true magnitude of their crime problems.  This will only be achieved through straightforward data that all of us can use and understand.

                                                                                                 THE EDITORS